Saturday, September 5, 2009

Correlations

So I was discussing what influences what, in the stock market ... with my brother-in-law.

So I generated a spreadsheet that calculated correlations between pairs of assets.
Some were to be expected -- but some were surprising.
Here's an example:

The fascinating thing is to compare daily stock returns when the returns for one asset are delayed a day ... or maybe advanced.

So, I calculate the correlation between the Shanghai Index returns and the DOW returns one day later (or earlier).

Then, comparing the DOW and Japan:

See? The China Index has a higher correlation of daily returns when compared to the DOW returns on the previous market day.
That holds, too, for Japan.

 

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