Glad to hear you are doing well. Have you ever use this program for statistics?: I have been exploring R-Commander with excel and so far it looks great!
"Your stock market book reviews are dreadful, lol." At first I thought: What reviews? Then I noted that Losing $money actually has a review! Huh? Then I noticed the author of that review. I reckon I'll have to split all the $money I make on sales, eh?
I even started a blog: http://losingmoneyonthestockmarket.blogspot.com/
This is gonna be GREAT FUN!!
Let's see: I gotta write about Dollar Cost Averaging, the Aroon Indicator, Williams %R, Sharpe Ratio, the Efficient Frontier ... uh since I got me hundreds of tutorials on gummy-stuff, I reckon I can write a dozen components to the Losing $money series, eh?
I gotta check here to see what's next: http://www.gummy-stuff.org/stock-charts.htm :^)
"Today Kindle, Tomorrow Pulitzer!" Fat chance! However, I'm happy that (before I drop dead) all them years I spent writing tutorials won't be wasted. Well, I enjoyed meself ... maybe that should be enuff, eh?
P.S. I'm now working on Losing $money: book two. It's better than Tylenol!
I’m so sorry I missed making contact with you at the height of your enthusiasm for demonstrating the relevance of mathematics to the markets. You have obviously been extremely generous with your time and your expert knowledge.
You see I have this belief that fair value for an index is quite easily determined by calculating the long term trend in earnings, projecting this trend line forward (say) 10 years (which gives $100 for the S&P500), and then multiplying this by the average PE ratio (16) to give the expected value 10 years hence (1600). Using the present value of the index (1350), its possible to calculate the expected annualised capital gain, add the dividend yield and then compare this with its long term average or the bond yield or whatever to see if the S&P500 is over- or under-valued.
I’ve looked through your spreadsheets to see if there is anything I can use but I’ve so far found nothing that’s really relevant. Peter, would you be kind enough to suggest something that maybe I’ve missed or better still give me an opinion about this measure of fair value. For the Oz market the correlation between the expected 10-year return (annualised) and the actual return is 0.9 for the period 1974-2000. Not too shabby. And so I can’t believe this method is not more widely quoted.
My other concern is whether you are still checking this blog (nothing since Jan!) and that you are well. I got the impression there were some health issues so I trust they’ve been resolved.
Secondly, do you know where I might find more information about (1) how to become as good at making web queries in Excel as you are and (2) parameter lists for various websites, please?
Your gummy-stuff about Yahoo web queries http://www.gummy-stuff.org/Yahoo-data.htm shows a parameter list ("special tags") for Yahoo and I have tried but failed to find similar lists for MSN and other websites. Any ideas would be gratefully recieved.
How about contact details for M.Kishinevsky and M.Higgs?
How about an e-book on web queries? There is a surprising lack of information about how to do more than just establish a basic connection. I think the world might quickly become an even better place if advanced web query stuff was more widely known about.
Thank you again.
David Harris London UK... ...but I have relatives in Ontario
I stumbled across your Gummy web page - thank goodness! - while looking for option volatility spreadsheets and just happened to see your Martin Zweig work.
This gave me several ideas on how to (hopefully) optimize the parameters for any stock or ETF.
I'm still in the testing phases of this project, but even if it only works half as well hoped, well... who would have thought I could be that lucky?
If that's the case, then Peter, thank you so much for all you have posted, for your generosity in providing your ideas and willingness to share.
Thank you, thank you with all my heart.
Best wishes
Doug
(Looking right back at you from the southern end of Ontario!)
Peter, I really like your stuff:) I can't seem to get your stock screener to work? http://www.gummy-stuff.org/stock-screener.htm Thanks for any ideas! Best wishes -David
Hello! I could have sworn I've been to this blog before but after reading through some of the post I realized it's new to me. Nonetheless, I'm definitely glad I found it and I'll be bookmarking and checking back often!
Glad to hear you are doing well. Have you ever use this program for statistics?: I have been exploring R-Commander with excel and so far it looks great!
ReplyDeletehttp://www.r-project.org/
"Have you ever use this program for statistics?"
ReplyDeleteNope, never have.
Your stock market book reviews are dreadful, lol.
ReplyDelete"Your stock market book reviews are dreadful, lol."
ReplyDeleteAt first I thought: What reviews?
Then I noted that Losing $money actually has a review!
Huh?
Then I noticed the author of that review.
I reckon I'll have to split all the $money I make on sales, eh?
P.S.
ReplyDeleteI even started a blog:
http://losingmoneyonthestockmarket.blogspot.com/
This is gonna be GREAT FUN!!
Let's see: I gotta write about Dollar Cost Averaging, the Aroon Indicator, Williams %R, Sharpe Ratio, the Efficient Frontier ... uh
since I got me hundreds of tutorials on gummy-stuff, I reckon I can write a dozen components to the Losing $money series, eh?
I gotta check here to see what's next:
http://www.gummy-stuff.org/stock-charts.htm
:^)
Today Kindle, Tomorrow Pulitzer!
ReplyDelete"Today Kindle, Tomorrow Pulitzer!"
ReplyDeleteFat chance!
However, I'm happy that (before I drop dead) all them years I spent writing tutorials won't be wasted.
Well, I enjoyed meself ... maybe that should be enuff, eh?
P.S.
I'm now working on Losing $money: book two.
It's better than Tylenol!
Too bad they already have "Math for Dummies", lol
ReplyDeleteFeeling better ... and thanks for all the email :^)
ReplyDeleteMr. Ponzo
ReplyDeleteCan you take a look http://www.youtube.com/user/spcmer
and we can talk about the stock market if you want
yours sincerely
Hope you are feeling better.
ReplyDeleteYes ... better :^)
ReplyDeleteThis comment has been removed by the author.
ReplyDeleteHello Peter,
ReplyDeleteI’m so sorry I missed making contact with you at the height of your enthusiasm for demonstrating the relevance of mathematics to the markets. You have obviously been extremely generous with your time and your expert knowledge.
You see I have this belief that fair value for an index is quite easily determined by calculating the long term trend in earnings, projecting this trend line forward (say) 10 years (which gives $100 for the S&P500), and then multiplying this by the average PE ratio (16) to give the expected value 10 years hence (1600). Using the present value of the index (1350), its possible to calculate the expected annualised capital gain, add the dividend yield and then compare this with its long term average or the bond yield or whatever to see if the S&P500 is over- or under-valued.
I’ve looked through your spreadsheets to see if there is anything I can use but I’ve so far found nothing that’s really relevant. Peter, would you be kind enough to suggest something that maybe I’ve missed or better still give me an opinion about this measure of fair value. For the Oz market the correlation between the expected 10-year return (annualised) and the actual return is 0.9 for the period 1974-2000. Not too shabby. And so I can’t believe this method is not more widely quoted.
My other concern is whether you are still checking this blog (nothing since Jan!) and that you are well. I got the impression there were some health issues so I trust they’ve been resolved.
Kind regards
Dear Gummy,
ReplyDeleteFirstly, thank you many times for many thoughts.
Secondly, do you know where I might find more information about (1) how to become as good at making web queries in Excel as you are and (2) parameter lists for various websites, please?
Your gummy-stuff about Yahoo web queries http://www.gummy-stuff.org/Yahoo-data.htm shows a parameter list ("special tags") for Yahoo and I have tried but failed to find similar lists for MSN and other websites. Any ideas would be gratefully recieved.
How about contact details for M.Kishinevsky and M.Higgs?
How about an e-book on web queries? There is a surprising lack of information about how to do more than just establish a basic connection. I think the world might quickly become an even better place if advanced web query stuff was more widely known about.
Thank you again.
David Harris
London UK... ...but I have relatives in Ontario
Dear Peter,
ReplyDeleteI stumbled across your Gummy web page - thank goodness! - while looking for option volatility spreadsheets and just happened to see your Martin Zweig work.
This gave me several ideas on how to (hopefully) optimize the parameters for any stock or ETF.
I'm still in the testing phases of this project, but even if it only works half as well hoped, well... who would have thought I could be that lucky?
If that's the case, then Peter, thank you so much for all you have posted, for your generosity in providing your ideas and willingness to share.
Thank you, thank you with all my heart.
Best wishes
Doug
(Looking right back at you from the southern end of Ontario!)
were you able to contact dr gummy by email? I cannot find any, let me know..
Deleteceo@delmargg.com
www.delmargg.com
Peter,
ReplyDeleteI really like your stuff:)
I can't seem to get your stock screener to work?
http://www.gummy-stuff.org/stock-screener.htm
Thanks for any ideas!
Best wishes
-David
Hello! I could have sworn I've been to this blog before but after reading through some of the post I realized it's new to me. Nonetheless, I'm definitely glad I found it and I'll be bookmarking and checking back often!
ReplyDeleteWhat's up, its fastidious paragraph regarding media print, we all know media is a fantastic source of data.
ReplyDelete