Monday, January 4, 2010

preMarket

I figured I was so clever.
My decisions to Buy & Sell my coal stock, GCE, is often based upon what BTU (a U.S. coal stock) does before the Canadian market opens (since the U.S. stock starts trading, preMarket).

So I decide to investigate the correlation between these two.
I look at BTU changes, from yesterday's close to today's open.
About time, eh?
Then I look at today's changes for GCE.
I fully expected that, when BTU opens UP (from yesterday's close), the GCE would be up today ... much of the time.

And what did I find?

Coherent movement is lousy and correlation is even lousier!

Did I mention how clever I thought I was?
How I turned $100K into $323K in that contest is a miracle !

 

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